UN: May See ‘New Normal’ On Other Side Of 5-Year Global Depression

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The Secretary-General of the UN lays out two possibilities to get through the pandemic: either accept UN leadership today or go through a five-year global depression and then accept their leadership as the “new normal”. Either way, it’s the same outcome. ⁃ TN Editor

From COVID-19 to climate disruption, from racial injustice to rising inequalities, we are a world in turmoil.

At the same time, we are an international community with an enduring vision – embodied in the United Nations Charter, which marks its 75th anniversary this year. That vision of a better future —  based on the values of equality, mutual respect and international cooperation —  has helped us to avoid a Third World War that would have had catastrophic consequences for life on our planet.

Our shared challenge is to channel that collective spirit and rise to this moment of trial and test.

The pandemic has laid bare severe and systemic inequalities both within and between countries and communities.  More broadly, it has underscored the world’s fragilities – not just in the face of another health emergency, but in our faltering response to the climate crisis, lawlessness in cyberspace, and the risks of nuclear proliferation.  People everywhere are losing trust in political establishments and institutions.

The emergency is compounded by many other profound humanitarian crises: conflicts that are continuing or even intensifying; record numbers of people forced to flee their homes; swarms of locusts in Africa and South Asia; looming droughts in southern Africa and Central America; all amid a context of rising geopolitical tensions.

In the face of these fragilities, world leaders need to be humble and recognize the vital importance of unity and solidarity.

No one can predict what comes next, but I see two possible scenarios.

First, the “optimistic” possibility.

In this case, the world would muddle through.  Countries in the global North would engineer a successful exit strategy.  Developing countries would receive enough support and their demographic characteristics – namely, the youth of their people – would help contain the impact.

And then perhaps a vaccine would appear in the next nine months or so, and would be distributed as a global public good, a “people’s vaccine” available and accessible to all.

If this happens, and if the economy starts up progressively, we might move towards some kind of normality  in two or three years.

But there is also a second, bleaker scenario in which countries fail to coordinate their actions.  New waves of the virus keep occurring.  The situation in the developing world explodes.  Work on the vaccine lags — or even if there is a vaccine relatively soon —  it becomes the subject of fierce competition and countries with greater economic power gain access to it first, leaving others behind.

In this scenario, we could also see greater movement toward fragmentation, populism and xenophobia.  Each country could go it alone or in so-called coalitions of the willing to address some specific challenges.  In the end, the world would fail to mobilize the kind of governance needed to address our shared challenges.

The result may well be a global depression that could last at least five or seven years before a new normal emerges, the nature of which is impossible to predict.

It is very difficult to know if we are moving in one direction or the other.  We must work for the best and prepare for the worst.

The pandemic, as horrible as it is, must be a wake-up call that prompts all political leaders to understand that our assumptions and approaches have to change, and that division is a danger to everyone.

This understanding could lead people to recognize that the only way to address global fragilities is through much more robust mechanisms of global governance with international cooperation.

After all, we cannot simply return to the systems that gave rise to the current crisis.  We need to build back better with more sustainable, inclusive, gender-equal societies and economies.

In doing so, we must reimagine the way nations cooperate.  Today’s multilateralism lacks scale, ambition and teeth — and some of the instruments that do have teeth show little or no appetite to bite, as we have seen in the difficulties faced by the Security Council.

We need a networked multilateralism, in which the United Nations and its agencies, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, regional organizations such as the African Union and European Union, trade organizations and others work together more closely and effectively.

We also need a more inclusive multilateralism.  Governments today are far from the only players in terms of politics and power.  Civil society, the business community, local authorities, cities and regional governments are assuming more and more leadership roles in today’s world.

This, in turn, will help lead to an effective multilateralism with the mechanisms it needs to make global governance work where it is needed.

A new, networked, inclusive, effective multilateralism, based on the enduring values of the United Nations Charter, could snap us out of our sleepwalking state and stop the slide towards ever greater danger.

Political leaders around the world need to heed this wake-up call and come together to address the world’s fragilities, strengthen our capacity for global governance, give teeth to multilateral institutions, and draw from the power of unity and solidarity to overcome the biggest test of our times.

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just sayin

Blackmail! The basest of men who think they are in control will soon be tossed aside by a mighty evil person who will have to be worshipped or you will die. That is where taking the mark of the beast comes in. You won’t survive when things get ugly, just worship this evil man (who is possessed completely by Satan) , take his mark and you may buy and sell. If not you will die. What ever they come up with they cannot make us worship them. Whatever they do they cannot make peace no matter what they do. They… Read more »

Last edited 1 month ago by just sayin
e.a.greenhalgh

5 years is about the same time for us to take out Hitler.Bring it Tedros and UN and we”ll see you at the New Nurmeberg. . BTW go to http://www.cancerfraudbadbiotech.com and READ the 2010 OPEN letter to Obama ,titled Prosperity vs Disaster which tells the world how to dig itself out from a depression clean up pollution and CREATE jobs!!! WE TAX the ELITE 10% off their holdings .Obama emailed me and thanked me for my concern for national security and the economy.The email is posted on my FB page. You really should read it.Hitler talked about a New Normal… Read more »

Dixie

Hmmm? Like the USA won the war? From which chicken egg did you come?
WITHOUT RUSSIA your asses would be grass and the GERMANS the lawnmower.
How many USA soldiers died during WW2? 407,300…how many Russians soldiers died?4,500,000 (million)!!!!
YOU GO FIGURE!!!!!

Jeremy

As always, the march to a global alliance initiative sounds good in theory but when athiest anti christian policy and brutal anti christian dictators take political control and become the rulers over the global alliance, it leads to the society warned about in end time prophecies written and warned about in the Bible!!!

Beverly

We aren’t dong either of this thug’s “options”. We’re the US, free people, not the UN, which is a military operation. We will continue to be free and resist all efforts to enslave us.

Dixie

The USA is part of the UN.

laura mcdonough

Fauci and the NIH is ruling now and Trump is on the sidelines. Big Pharma/Gates is pushing vaccines by Oct.

Erik Nielsen

Off course we need UN as a World Government in a moment where UN has proved to be an obsolete weak fake factory whose neo-liberal opinions depends solely on their lobbyist funding.

laura mcdonough

Trump is playing the globalist gameplan, no one has been arrested or “drained out” of the swamp. A nationwide revolt is in order which will be mainly old men and women fighting back. Are there any men of fighting age who will stand up?slim to none.